Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.032692 0.038063 0.043975 0.050954 0.058959 0.067844 0.078445
2025-09-14 0.024571 0.031547 0.039934 0.050721 0.064190 0.080410 0.101377
2025-09-21 0.018650 0.026107 0.035794 0.049218 0.067246 0.090512 0.122693
2025-09-28 0.014830 0.022423 0.032988 0.048619 0.070984 0.101623 0.146520
2025-10-05 0.012974 0.020991 0.032836 0.051381 0.079399 0.119784 0.181927
2025-10-12 0.011308 0.019468 0.032204 0.053198 0.086508 0.136754 0.217507
2025-10-19 0.009325 0.017047 0.029749 0.051738 0.088285 0.145823 0.242130
2025-10-26 0.007933 0.015331 0.028107 0.051243 0.091359 0.157015 0.271015
2025-11-02 0.006642 0.013547 0.026042 0.049665 0.092311 0.164718 0.294861
2025-11-09 0.005641 0.012111 0.024348 0.048445 0.093619 0.172990 0.320300
2025-11-16 0.004956 0.011161 0.023393 0.048402 0.096947 0.184957 0.353157
2025-11-23 0.004244 0.010027 0.021903 0.047102 0.097719 0.192348 0.378439
2025-11-30 0.003944 0.009734 0.022079 0.049177 0.105319 0.213223 0.430938
2025-12-07 0.003495 0.009029 0.021297 0.049180 0.108817 0.226735 0.470963
2025-12-14 0.003006 0.008137 0.019969 0.047831 0.109370 0.234560 0.500738
2025-12-21 0.002645 0.007486 0.019077 0.047304 0.111561 0.245823 0.538372
2025-12-28 0.002531 0.007444 0.019591 0.050025 0.121108 0.273021 0.610933
2026-01-04 0.002371 0.007247 0.019701 0.051812 0.128763 0.296962 0.678868
2026-01-11 0.002062 0.006581 0.018547 0.050395 0.128908 0.304820 0.713331
2026-01-18 0.001838 0.006111 0.017816 0.049916 0.131177 0.317503 0.759367
2026-01-25 0.001597 0.005541 0.016733 0.048378 0.130696 0.323944 0.792102
2026-02-01 0.001402 0.005068 0.015833 0.047189 0.130916 0.331974 0.829101
2026-02-08 0.001270 0.004772 0.015383 0.047148 0.134031 0.347031 0.883597